Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.027379 0.030009 0.032614 0.035381 0.038232 0.041079 0.044133
2025-01-05 0.021899 0.026106 0.030392 0.035060 0.039974 0.044975 0.050428
2025-01-12 0.017886 0.023078 0.028506 0.034538 0.040997 0.047660 0.055010
2025-01-19 0.014166 0.019942 0.026147 0.033180 0.040827 0.048809 0.057701
2025-01-26 0.012591 0.018977 0.025978 0.034024 0.042861 0.052158 0.062579
2025-02-02 0.010794 0.017588 0.025204 0.034083 0.043936 0.054379 0.066151
2025-02-09 0.008716 0.015692 0.023731 0.033256 0.043945 0.055364 0.068314
2025-02-16 0.007510 0.014742 0.023265 0.033494 0.045068 0.057502 0.071663
2025-02-23 0.006276 0.013648 0.022560 0.033399 0.045769 0.059133 0.074417
2025-03-02 0.005088 0.012501 0.021723 0.033099 0.046193 0.060419 0.076755
2025-03-09 0.004116 0.011546 0.021062 0.032959 0.046760 0.061830 0.079197
2025-03-16 0.003015 0.010270 0.019936 0.032224 0.046611 0.062415 0.080700
2025-03-23 0.002144 0.009306 0.019279 0.032171 0.047405 0.064230 0.083772
2025-03-30 0.001281 0.008177 0.018380 0.031841 0.047912 0.065774 0.086607
2025-04-06 0.000576 0.007034 0.017378 0.031335 0.048182 0.067024 0.089094
2025-04-13 0.000038 0.005560 0.015788 0.030025 0.047457 0.067109 0.090246
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005299 0.015903 0.030838 0.049217 0.069995 0.094502
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004690 0.015449 0.030895 0.050056 0.071809 0.097536
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003737 0.014369 0.030098 0.049840 0.072392 0.099165
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003317 0.014094 0.030328 0.050839 0.074351 0.102323
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002800 0.013596 0.030236 0.051431 0.075824 0.104916
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002254 0.012973 0.029947 0.051761 0.076978 0.107132
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001818 0.012483 0.029812 0.052263 0.078315 0.109541